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Odds Analysis

Promoted Teams in LMS: Opportunity or Trap?

LMS Strategy Team
12 January 2026
10 min read
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Promoted Teams in LMS: Opportunity or Trap?

This season welcomes Sunderland, Leeds United, and Burnley to the Premier League.

Historical Performance

Over the last 10 seasons, newly-promoted teams have:

  • Won 28% of matches overall
  • Won 35% of home matches
  • Won 21% of away matches

The 2025/26 Promoted Teams

Sunderland

First PL season since 2016/17. Most vulnerable away, dangerous at home early season.

Leeds United

Know the Premier League from recent seasons. Most capable of survival, treat with respect.

Burnley

Experienced at Premier League survival. Frustrating but beatable, watch for draws.

When to Target Promoted Teams

Best opportunities:

  • GW15-25: Mid-season fatigue
  • After losses: Confidence drops
  • Top team at home against them
Promoted teams represent legitimate LMS opportunities, but not free wins.

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LMS Strategy Team

Expert analysts with over 10 years of combined experience in football predictions and Last Man Standing competitions.

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